Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ACES Electronics Co., Ltd. (3605.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.98 - $177.24$116.25
Multi-Stage$72.91 - $79.84$76.31
Blended Fair Value$96.28
Current Price$71.50
Upside34.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.461.270.540.580.540.310.460.310.93
YoY Growth---100.00%-63.33%135.30%-6.67%7.14%75.00%-33.33%49.36%-66.70%71.55%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.22%4.03%1.15%1.30%2.90%1.24%1.78%1.21%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)671.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)111.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)560.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.3483.9650.38
Cash Retained (M)560.17560.17560.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.34-83.96-50.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)425.83476.21509.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.24159.24159.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.672.993.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.672.993.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.373.693.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Fair Value$80.98$116.25$177.24
Upside / Downside13.25%62.59%147.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)671.71705.09740.13776.91815.52856.05881.73
Payout Ratio16.60%31.28%45.96%60.64%75.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)111.53220.58340.18471.13614.26770.44815.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Year 1 PV (M)201.73203.67205.61
Year 2 PV (M)284.53290.03295.58
Year 3 PV (M)360.38370.87381.58
Year 4 PV (M)429.70446.47463.73
Year 5 PV (M)492.90517.07542.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,840.4010,322.8210,823.99
Equity Value (M)11,609.6312,150.9312,712.65
Shares Outstanding (M)159.24159.24159.24
Fair Value$72.91$76.31$79.84
Upside / Downside1.97%6.72%11.66%

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