Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ASROCK Incorporation (3515.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$708.69 - $2,521.65$2,316.62
Multi-Stage$327.30 - $357.78$342.26
Blended Fair Value$1,329.44
Current Price$274.00
Upside385.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.37%-1.96%7.318.7413.037.803.903.903.901.862.333.72
YoY Growth---16.32%-32.93%66.94%100.00%-0.05%-0.04%109.92%-20.00%-37.50%-58.23%
Dividend Yield--3.95%3.41%9.24%3.63%2.43%3.68%6.21%2.11%5.70%8.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,568.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)904.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)664.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)313.68196.05117.63
Cash Retained (M)664.23664.23664.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-313.68-196.05-117.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)350.55468.18546.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.70123.70123.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.833.784.42
LTM Dividend per Share7.317.317.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.833.784.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1411.0911.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$708.69$2,316.62$2,521.65
Upside / Downside158.65%745.48%820.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,568.421,670.371,778.941,894.572,017.722,148.872,213.34
Payout Ratio57.65%64.12%70.59%77.06%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)904.191,071.041,255.751,459.961,685.401,933.992,047.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)991.481,000.881,010.27
Year 2 PV (M)1,076.121,096.621,117.31
Year 3 PV (M)1,158.181,191.421,225.30
Year 4 PV (M)1,237.701,285.301,334.26
Year 5 PV (M)1,314.751,378.261,444.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,708.2036,384.6138,125.19
Equity Value (M)40,486.4342,337.0944,256.53
Shares Outstanding (M)123.70123.70123.70
Fair Value$327.30$342.26$357.78
Upside / Downside19.45%24.91%30.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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