Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (329180.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95,143.29 - $134,711.28$114,683.91
Multi-Stage$143,303.44 - $157,270.63$150,152.46
Blended Fair Value$132,418.18
Current Price$515,000.00
Upside-74.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,292,479.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)333,875.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)958,604.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)258,495.94161,559.9696,935.98
Cash Retained (M)958,604.02958,604.02958,604.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-258,495.94-161,559.96-96,935.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)700,108.08797,044.06861,668.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.7788.7788.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share7,886.618,978.589,706.56
LTM Dividend per Share3,761.063,761.063,761.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share7,886.618,978.589,706.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,647.6712,739.6413,467.61
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$95,143.29$114,683.91$134,711.28
Upside / Downside-81.53%-77.73%-73.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,292,479.711,279,554.911,266,759.361,254,091.771,241,550.851,229,135.341,266,009.40
Payout Ratio25.83%38.67%51.50%64.33%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)333,875.69494,749.43652,372.31806,793.25958,060.541,106,221.811,171,058.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)445,239.61449,782.87454,326.13
Year 2 PV (M)528,338.79539,176.23550,123.69
Year 3 PV (M)588,014.09606,198.82624,754.66
Year 4 PV (M)628,386.61654,430.30681,275.26
Year 5 PV (M)652,957.14686,958.13722,361.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,878,361.2010,392,750.3910,928,348.19
Equity Value (M)12,721,297.4413,329,296.7413,961,188.95
Shares Outstanding (M)88.7788.7788.77
Fair Value$143,303.44$150,152.46$157,270.63
Upside / Downside-72.17%-70.84%-69.46%

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