Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd. (300951.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.31 - $228.92$214.54
Multi-Stage$133.35 - $146.31$139.71
Blended Fair Value$177.12
Current Price$38.81
Upside356.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS43.73%0.00%0.730.890.710.600.360.120.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth---18.34%25.20%18.65%68.45%200.20%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%2.98%1.72%1.90%0.80%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)193.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.7424.2114.53
Cash Retained (M)93.1393.1393.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.74-24.21-14.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3968.9278.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)168.26168.26168.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.921.011.06
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$194.31$214.54$228.92
Upside / Downside400.66%452.78%489.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)193.69206.28219.69233.97249.17265.37273.33
Payout Ratio51.92%59.53%67.15%74.77%82.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.56122.80147.52174.93205.28238.83252.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)119.04120.16121.29
Year 2 PV (M)138.61141.25143.91
Year 3 PV (M)159.32163.89168.55
Year 4 PV (M)181.22188.19195.36
Year 5 PV (M)204.37214.25224.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,635.2722,680.2623,765.25
Equity Value (M)22,437.8223,508.0024,618.85
Shares Outstanding (M)168.26168.26168.26
Fair Value$133.35$139.71$146.31
Upside / Downside243.59%259.98%276.99%

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