Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Yeal Electric Co.,Ltd (300923.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.99 - $117.98$110.48
Multi-Stage$92.21 - $101.88$96.95
Blended Fair Value$103.72
Current Price$25.78
Upside302.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.32%0.00%0.450.290.290.180.380.390.000.070.750.00
YoY Growth--58.56%-0.11%56.83%-52.00%-1.24%16,567.07%-96.91%-90.03%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.23%1.53%1.28%0.70%1.13%0.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.856.163.69
Cash Retained (M)14.1214.1214.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.85-6.16-3.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.267.9610.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.2577.2577.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.560.59
WACC / Discount Rate-9.18%-9.18%-9.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$99.99$110.48$117.98
Upside / Downside287.87%328.57%357.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49.2648.7748.2847.8047.3246.8548.25
Payout Ratio71.34%75.07%78.81%82.54%86.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.1536.6138.0539.4540.8242.1644.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-9.18%-9.18%-9.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)39.9040.3140.72
Year 2 PV (M)45.2046.1247.06
Year 3 PV (M)51.0852.6654.27
Year 4 PV (M)57.6059.9962.45
Year 5 PV (M)64.8468.2271.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,864.447,221.897,594.07
Equity Value (M)7,123.077,489.197,870.31
Shares Outstanding (M)77.2577.2577.25
Fair Value$92.21$96.95$101.88
Upside / Downside257.69%276.07%295.21%

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