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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangxi Everbright Measurement And Control Technology Co.,Ltd. (300906.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$143.69 - $169.29$158.65
Multi-Stage$118.39 - $129.90$124.04
Blended Fair Value$141.34
Current Price$29.28
Upside382.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.89%60.88%0.500.200.300.500.000.250.380.140.130.50
YoY Growth--150.00%-33.33%-40.00%0.00%-100.00%-33.40%161.09%12.83%-74.70%11,593.26%
Dividend Yield--2.07%0.97%1.27%1.77%0.00%0.38%0.57%0.22%0.19%0.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.628.515.11
Cash Retained (M)28.1028.1028.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.62-8.51-5.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.4819.5922.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.0080.0080.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.240.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.240.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.79
WACC / Discount Rate-1.49%-1.49%-1.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$143.69$158.65$169.29
Upside / Downside390.74%441.84%478.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.1072.5277.2482.2687.6193.3096.10
Payout Ratio58.74%64.99%71.24%77.50%83.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0047.1355.0363.7573.3783.9788.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.49%-1.49%-1.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47.4047.8548.30
Year 2 PV (M)55.6556.7157.78
Year 3 PV (M)64.8366.6968.58
Year 4 PV (M)75.0377.9280.88
Year 5 PV (M)86.3690.5394.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,141.659,583.2010,041.64
Equity Value (M)9,470.919,922.8810,392.04
Shares Outstanding (M)80.0080.0080.00
Fair Value$118.39$124.04$129.90
Upside / Downside304.33%323.63%343.66%

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