Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ningbo Jianan Electronics Co.,Ltd (300880.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.54 - $84.40$79.04
Multi-Stage$43.10 - $47.59$45.30
Blended Fair Value$62.17
Current Price$19.78
Upside214.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.300.500.250.140.000.000.050.000.010.00
YoY Growth---39.69%101.21%80.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%2.89%1.43%0.84%0.00%0.00%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.8011.126.67
Cash Retained (M)1.111.111.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.80-11.12-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)-16.69-10.02-5.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)195.07195.07195.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.05-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.05-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate-0.87%-0.87%-0.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$31.54$79.04$84.40
Upside / Downside59.46%299.61%326.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89.0088.1187.2386.3585.4984.6387.17
Payout Ratio98.75%97.00%95.25%93.50%91.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.8985.4783.0880.7478.4476.1780.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.87%-0.87%-0.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)85.3486.2187.08
Year 2 PV (M)82.8484.5486.26
Year 3 PV (M)80.3982.8885.41
Year 4 PV (M)77.9881.2184.55
Year 5 PV (M)75.6279.5683.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,005.158,422.008,856.03
Equity Value (M)8,407.338,836.409,282.99
Shares Outstanding (M)195.07195.07195.07
Fair Value$43.10$45.30$47.59
Upside / Downside117.89%129.01%140.59%

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