Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering Co., Ltd. (300832.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.64 - $417.55$170.99
Multi-Stage$46.72 - $51.02$48.83
Blended Fair Value$109.91
Current Price$68.30
Upside60.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%42.61%1.000.700.600.530.790.000.130.240.070.05
YoY Growth--43.37%16.20%14.12%-33.21%0.00%-100.00%-46.00%233.33%31.04%87.66%
Dividend Yield--1.72%1.03%0.98%1.55%1.25%0.00%0.54%0.99%0.30%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,649.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,022.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)627.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)329.93206.21123.73
Cash Retained (M)627.55627.55627.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-329.93-206.21-123.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)297.62421.34503.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)785.72785.72785.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.540.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.540.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.681.841.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$82.64$170.99$417.55
Upside / Downside21.00%150.35%511.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,649.671,756.901,871.091,992.722,122.242,260.192,327.99
Payout Ratio61.96%67.57%73.18%78.78%84.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,022.121,187.081,369.181,569.931,791.002,034.172,153.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,092.431,102.781,113.14
Year 2 PV (M)1,159.541,181.621,203.92
Year 3 PV (M)1,223.541,258.661,294.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,284.531,333.931,384.74
Year 5 PV (M)1,342.601,407.451,474.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,603.3932,081.5533,616.28
Equity Value (M)36,706.0338,366.0040,087.30
Shares Outstanding (M)785.72785.72785.72
Fair Value$46.72$48.83$51.02
Upside / Downside-31.60%-28.51%-25.30%

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