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Definitive Analysis

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Yusys Technologies Co., Ltd. (300674.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.25 - $97.79$33.04
Multi-Stage$11.12 - $12.14$11.62
Blended Fair Value$22.33
Current Price$25.22
Upside-11.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.47%32.92%0.190.140.200.160.140.110.050.050.030.02
YoY Growth--39.25%-30.53%21.50%13.80%28.67%127.56%8.45%46.90%82.19%51.44%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.99%1.07%0.89%0.64%0.51%0.22%0.60%0.41%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)396.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)185.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)211.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.3749.6029.76
Cash Retained (M)211.66211.66211.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.37-49.60-29.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.30162.06181.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)715.81715.81715.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.25$33.04$97.79
Upside / Downside-27.63%31.00%287.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)396.84422.63450.10479.36510.52543.70560.01
Payout Ratio46.66%55.33%64.00%72.66%81.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)185.17233.84288.05348.32415.22489.33518.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)214.36216.39218.42
Year 2 PV (M)242.06246.67251.32
Year 3 PV (M)268.32276.02283.87
Year 4 PV (M)293.20304.48316.07
Year 5 PV (M)316.75332.05347.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,621.936,941.777,273.86
Equity Value (M)7,956.628,317.388,691.48
Shares Outstanding (M)715.81715.81715.81
Fair Value$11.12$11.62$12.14
Upside / Downside-55.93%-53.93%-51.86%

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