Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material Co., Ltd. (300481.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.41 - $101.50$95.12
Multi-Stage$16.07 - $17.57$16.81
Blended Fair Value$55.96
Current Price$15.02
Upside272.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.62%43.76%0.610.430.410.170.170.170.200.070.140.01
YoY Growth--43.38%3.82%136.45%0.00%0.00%-14.29%199.91%-50.00%1,954.22%-59.43%
Dividend Yield--4.08%2.89%1.57%0.74%0.79%1.08%1.14%0.47%0.73%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)150.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.0518.7811.27
Cash Retained (M)28.6828.6828.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.05-18.78-11.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.379.9017.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)294.37294.37294.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.41$95.12$101.50
Upside / Downside235.62%533.26%575.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)150.23160.00170.40181.47193.27205.83212.01
Payout Ratio80.91%82.73%84.55%86.36%88.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121.56132.37144.07156.73170.43185.25196.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)123.29124.46125.63
Year 2 PV (M)124.98127.37129.77
Year 3 PV (M)126.65130.28133.99
Year 4 PV (M)128.27133.21138.28
Year 5 PV (M)129.86136.14142.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,098.304,296.254,501.77
Equity Value (M)4,731.354,947.695,172.08
Shares Outstanding (M)294.37294.37294.37
Fair Value$16.07$16.81$17.57
Upside / Downside7.01%11.90%16.98%

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