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Definitive Analysis

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Lotte Innovate Co Ltd (286940.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,362.61 - $9,747.34$7,942.95
Multi-Stage$14,075.33 - $15,445.75$14,747.28
Blended Fair Value$11,345.12
Current Price$21,650.00
Upside-47.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS10.26%0.00%1,000.60700.42700.42700.42700.42614.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--42.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.62%1.86%2.64%1.82%1.84%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,662.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,590.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,132.571,332.86799.72
Cash Retained (M)72.3172.3172.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,132.57-1,332.86-799.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,060.26-1,260.55-727.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.1215.1215.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-136.26-83.37-48.11
LTM Dividend per Share700.42700.42700.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share-136.26-83.37-48.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend564.16617.05652.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.88%-0.88%0.12%
Fair Value$6,362.61$7,942.95$9,747.34
Upside / Downside-70.61%-63.31%-54.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,662.8710,569.5010,476.9510,385.2010,294.2610,204.1210,510.24
Payout Ratio99.32%97.46%95.59%93.73%91.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,590.5610,300.7610,015.249,733.929,456.769,183.719,721.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.88%-0.88%0.12%
Year 1 PV (M)9,545.399,642.669,739.94
Year 2 PV (M)8,600.218,776.408,954.37
Year 3 PV (M)7,745.687,984.928,229.03
Year 4 PV (M)6,973.307,261.947,559.45
Year 5 PV (M)6,275.356,601.706,941.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)173,682.62182,714.99192,119.28
Equity Value (M)212,822.56222,982.61233,543.56
Shares Outstanding (M)15.1215.1215.12
Fair Value$14,075.33$14,747.28$15,445.75
Upside / Downside-34.99%-31.88%-28.66%

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