Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lian Fa International Dining Business Corp. (2756.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.40 - $19.57$17.03
Multi-Stage$35.09 - $38.75$36.88
Blended Fair Value$26.96
Current Price$92.70
Upside-70.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-5.68%0.00%3.483.522.611.101.514.650.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.33%35.00%137.18%-27.00%-67.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.62%4.11%2.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)77.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.589.745.84
Cash Retained (M)46.3046.3046.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.58-9.74-5.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.7336.5740.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.181.401.55
LTM Dividend per Share1.211.211.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.181.401.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.382.612.76
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate-7.68%-6.68%-5.68%
Fair Value$14.40$17.03$19.57
Upside / Downside-84.47%-81.63%-78.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)77.8872.6867.8363.3059.0755.1356.78
Payout Ratio40.55%50.44%60.33%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.5836.6640.9244.4547.3249.6152.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate-7.68%-6.68%-5.68%
Year 1 PV (M)33.7034.0634.43
Year 2 PV (M)34.5835.3336.10
Year 3 PV (M)34.5335.6736.82
Year 4 PV (M)33.8035.2936.82
Year 5 PV (M)32.5834.3836.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)747.65789.02832.21
Equity Value (M)916.83963.751,012.65
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
Fair Value$35.09$36.88$38.75
Upside / Downside-62.15%-60.21%-58.19%

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