Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Greatek Electronics Inc. (2441.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.13 - $96.49$72.76
Multi-Stage$79.58 - $87.14$83.29
Blended Fair Value$78.03
Current Price$63.10
Upside23.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.53%2.26%2.483.674.963.072.282.682.972.732.382.78
YoY Growth---32.43%-26.00%61.29%34.78%-14.81%-10.00%9.09%14.58%-14.29%40.00%
Dividend Yield--4.30%5.85%9.30%4.14%3.21%6.37%6.98%4.89%5.72%7.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,389.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,706.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)682.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)477.90298.69179.21
Cash Retained (M)682.96682.96682.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-477.90-298.69-179.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)205.06384.27503.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)573.76573.76573.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.670.88
LTM Dividend per Share2.972.972.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.670.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.333.643.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.41%2.41%3.41%
Fair Value$55.13$72.76$96.49
Upside / Downside-12.63%15.32%52.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,389.502,447.082,506.062,566.452,628.312,691.652,772.40
Payout Ratio71.42%75.13%78.85%82.57%86.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,706.541,838.611,976.052,119.052,267.802,422.482,564.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.41%2.41%3.41%
Year 1 PV (M)1,693.021,709.721,726.41
Year 2 PV (M)1,675.501,708.711,742.24
Year 3 PV (M)1,654.481,703.911,754.31
Year 4 PV (M)1,630.411,695.681,762.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,603.721,684.361,768.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,404.7439,285.7041,241.59
Equity Value (M)45,661.8847,788.0849,995.67
Shares Outstanding (M)573.76573.76573.76
Fair Value$79.58$83.29$87.14
Upside / Downside26.12%32.00%38.09%

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