DDM Analysis: 2176.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.37 - $22.98	$21.54
Multi-Stage	$3.15 - $3.45	$3.30
Blended Fair Value	$12.42
Current Price	$1.28
Upside	870.05%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	60.38%	0.00%	0.08	0.06	0.11	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	20.70%	-44.62%	647.06%	6.99%	98.61%	-62.28%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.31%	9.14%	39.02%	5.56%	87.05%	38.46%	178.67%	0.00%	119.39%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	80.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	53.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	27.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16.18	10.11	6.07
Cash Retained (M)	27.41	27.41	27.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16.18	-10.11	-6.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11.23	17.30	21.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	699.97	699.97	699.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.02	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.02	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.09	0.10	0.11
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$7.37	$21.54	$22.98
Upside / Downside	475.65%	1,582.57%	1,695.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	80.89	86.14	91.74	97.71	104.06	110.82	114.15
Payout Ratio	66.12%	70.89%	75.67%	80.45%	85.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	53.48	61.07	69.42	78.60	88.68	99.74	105.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	56.63	57.17	57.71
Year 2 PV (M)	59.70	60.84	61.98
Year 3 PV (M)	62.68	64.48	66.31
Year 4 PV (M)	65.58	68.10	70.70
Year 5 PV (M)	68.40	71.70	75.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,893.66	1,985.12	2,080.09
Equity Value (M)	2,206.65	2,307.41	2,411.92
Shares Outstanding (M)	699.97	699.97	699.97
Fair Value	$3.15	$3.30	$3.45
Upside / Downside	146.29%	157.54%	169.20%

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CCID Consulting Company Limited (2176.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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