Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SD BioSensor, Inc (137310.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,092.27 - $12,232.84$10,043.55
Multi-Stage$16,154.85 - $17,790.19$16,956.43
Blended Fair Value$13,499.99
Current Price$9,930.00
Upside35.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.32245.461,650.84414.710.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---99.87%-85.13%298.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.06%7.82%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113,215.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24,175.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,040.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22,643.1014,151.938,491.16
Cash Retained (M)89,040.2989,040.2989,040.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-22,643.10-14,151.93-8,491.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,397.2074,888.3680,549.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)120.38120.38120.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share551.54622.08669.10
LTM Dividend per Share200.82200.82200.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share551.54622.08669.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend752.36822.89869.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8,092.27$10,043.55$12,232.84
Upside / Downside-18.51%1.14%23.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113,215.48112,083.32110,962.49109,852.87108,754.34107,666.79110,896.80
Payout Ratio21.35%35.08%48.81%62.54%76.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24,175.1939,321.7454,162.9668,703.4182,947.6496,900.11102,579.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36,340.2836,711.1037,081.92
Year 2 PV (M)46,260.8347,209.7548,168.30
Year 3 PV (M)54,230.6655,907.7857,619.13
Year 4 PV (M)60,509.8663,017.7265,602.72
Year 5 PV (M)65,328.3968,730.1972,272.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,682,123.241,769,715.301,860,918.84
Equity Value (M)1,944,793.272,041,291.842,141,663.16
Shares Outstanding (M)120.38120.38120.38
Fair Value$16,154.85$16,956.43$17,790.19
Upside / Downside62.69%70.76%79.16%

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