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Definitive Analysis

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Siegfried Holding AG (0QQO.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$221.33 - $1,295.10$409.11
Multi-Stage$128.39 - $140.50$134.33
Blended Fair Value$271.72
Current Price$89.30
Upside204.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.35%10.00%0.350.330.310.290.270.250.230.180.160.14
YoY Growth--6.57%6.67%7.17%8.67%7.68%8.32%27.24%11.90%16.91%0.93%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.39%0.51%0.33%0.41%0.53%0.70%0.56%0.76%0.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)283.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)251.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.6035.3821.23
Cash Retained (M)251.00251.00251.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.60-35.38-21.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)194.40215.62229.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.4643.4643.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.474.965.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.474.965.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.215.706.02
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$221.33$409.11$1,295.10
Upside / Downside147.84%358.13%1,350.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)283.02301.42321.01341.87364.09387.76399.39
Payout Ratio11.31%27.05%42.79%58.53%74.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0281.53137.35200.08270.39348.98369.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)74.8075.5176.22
Year 2 PV (M)115.59117.79120.02
Year 3 PV (M)154.47158.91163.42
Year 4 PV (M)191.50198.86206.44
Year 5 PV (M)226.74237.70249.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,816.755,049.405,290.96
Equity Value (M)5,579.865,838.176,106.12
Shares Outstanding (M)43.4643.4643.46
Fair Value$128.39$134.33$140.50
Upside / Downside43.77%50.43%57.33%

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