Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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L E Lundbergföretagen AB (publ) (0GWB.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$834.43 - $2,841.22$1,369.04
Multi-Stage$718.33 - $786.02$751.55
Blended Fair Value$1,060.29
Current Price$488.40
Upside117.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.07%6.46%4.304.003.753.500.003.203.002.802.652.50
YoY Growth--7.46%6.67%7.14%0.00%-100.00%6.72%7.20%5.63%5.97%8.77%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.70%0.80%0.73%0.00%0.79%1.01%0.94%0.87%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,595.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,149.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,446.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,519.00949.38569.63
Cash Retained (M)3,446.003,446.003,446.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,519.00-949.38-569.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,927.002,496.632,876.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.76247.76247.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.7810.0811.61
LTM Dividend per Share16.7516.7516.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.7810.0811.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.5226.8228.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.07%5.07%6.07%
Fair Value$834.43$1,369.04$2,841.22
Upside / Downside70.85%180.31%481.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,595.007,979.978,384.458,809.449,255.969,725.1210,016.88
Payout Ratio54.63%61.70%68.78%75.85%82.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,149.004,923.845,766.566,682.077,675.568,752.619,265.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.07%5.07%6.07%
Year 1 PV (M)4,552.504,596.254,639.99
Year 2 PV (M)4,929.585,024.775,120.87
Year 3 PV (M)5,281.425,435.135,591.80
Year 4 PV (M)5,609.145,827.866,052.92
Year 5 PV (M)5,913.856,203.506,504.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)151,683.86159,112.95166,830.31
Equity Value (M)177,970.35186,200.46194,740.28
Shares Outstanding (M)247.76247.76247.76
Fair Value$718.33$751.55$786.02
Upside / Downside47.08%53.88%60.94%

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