Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Publishing Co., Ltd (068290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,885.69 - $3,747.24$3,341.43
Multi-Stage$6,960.63 - $7,743.58$7,343.45
Blended Fair Value$5,342.44
Current Price$15,390.00
Upside-65.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.01%199.62199.62252.30199.6299.8199.81149.72109.79152.33122.39
YoY Growth--0.00%-20.88%26.39%100.00%0.00%-33.33%36.36%-27.93%24.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.38%0.95%1.10%0.60%0.22%0.49%0.84%1.15%1.41%1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,520.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,520.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,904.141,190.09714.05
Cash Retained (M)7,520.717,520.717,520.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,904.14-1,190.09-714.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,616.576,330.626,806.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.0210.0210.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share560.60631.87679.39
LTM Dividend per Share199.62199.62199.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share560.60631.87679.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend760.22831.50879.01
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate-14.48%-13.48%-12.48%
Fair Value$2,885.69$3,341.43$3,747.24
Upside / Downside-81.25%-78.29%-75.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,520.718,237.537,127.296,166.695,335.564,616.444,754.94
Payout Ratio21.01%34.81%48.60%62.40%76.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,000.002,867.113,464.163,848.184,065.774,154.804,398.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate-14.48%-13.48%-12.48%
Year 1 PV (M)2,622.772,653.442,684.10
Year 2 PV (M)2,898.872,967.063,036.04
Year 3 PV (M)2,945.793,050.343,157.33
Year 4 PV (M)2,847.112,982.633,122.93
Year 5 PV (M)2,661.502,820.792,987.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,761.4459,098.6362,593.72
Equity Value (M)69,737.4873,572.8777,581.73
Shares Outstanding (M)10.0210.0210.02
Fair Value$6,960.63$7,343.45$7,743.58
Upside / Downside-54.77%-52.28%-49.68%

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