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Definitive Analysis

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HanmiGlobal Co., Ltd. (053690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209,330.07 - $453,888.41$425,359.91
Multi-Stage$68,102.74 - $74,569.69$71,276.69
Blended Fair Value$248,318.30
Current Price$19,710.00
Upside1,159.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.19%15.28%540.73680.24420.68278.97196.94198.54245.10294.49223.65168.09
YoY Growth---20.51%61.70%50.80%41.65%-0.80%-19.00%-16.77%31.67%33.06%28.83%
Dividend Yield--3.62%4.08%1.59%1.97%1.84%3.03%2.19%3.06%2.11%1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,123.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,486.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,637.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,624.702,890.441,734.26
Cash Retained (M)16,637.4116,637.4116,637.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,624.70-2,890.44-1,734.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,012.7113,746.9714,903.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.1310.1310.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,185.651,356.821,470.94
LTM Dividend per Share640.17640.17640.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,185.651,356.821,470.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,825.821,996.992,111.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$209,330.07$425,359.91$453,888.41
Upside / Downside962.05%2,058.09%2,202.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,123.4924,626.5226,227.2427,932.0129,747.5931,681.1832,631.62
Payout Ratio28.05%40.44%52.83%65.22%77.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,486.089,958.9113,855.8118,217.2323,087.0928,513.0730,184.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,270.239,358.109,445.97
Year 2 PV (M)12,005.7612,234.4312,465.27
Year 3 PV (M)14,693.2815,115.0715,544.86
Year 4 PV (M)17,333.4318,000.0218,685.66
Year 5 PV (M)19,926.8220,889.2921,888.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)616,770.43646,560.68677,491.06
Equity Value (M)689,999.95722,157.59755,521.42
Shares Outstanding (M)10.1310.1310.13
Fair Value$68,102.74$71,276.69$74,569.69
Upside / Downside245.52%261.63%278.33%

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