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Incheon City Gas Co., Ltd. (034590.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52,568.73 - $88,680.52$68,355.85
Multi-Stage$102,584.06 - $112,866.37$107,625.31
Blended Fair Value$87,990.58
Current Price$26,050.00
Upside237.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.96%1,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.441,250.44
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.99%
Dividend Yield--5.12%4.93%4.72%4.70%4.85%5.32%4.28%4.18%4.14%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,059.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,152.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,907.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,611.942,257.461,354.48
Cash Retained (M)12,907.2212,907.2212,907.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,611.94-2,257.46-1,354.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,295.2710,649.7511,552.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.124.124.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,255.832,584.542,803.69
LTM Dividend per Share1,250.441,250.441,250.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,255.832,584.542,803.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,506.273,834.984,054.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.33%0.67%1.67%
Fair Value$52,568.73$68,355.85$88,680.52
Upside / Downside101.80%162.40%240.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,059.7218,181.4518,304.0118,427.3918,551.6118,676.6619,236.96
Payout Ratio28.53%40.82%53.12%65.41%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,152.507,422.459,722.7612,053.7514,415.7216,808.9917,794.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.33%0.67%1.67%
Year 1 PV (M)6,911.746,981.097,050.43
Year 2 PV (M)8,430.848,600.858,772.57
Year 3 PV (M)9,732.9410,028.8310,330.66
Year 4 PV (M)10,839.2411,280.8111,735.75
Year 5 PV (M)11,769.1312,371.4812,998.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)375,019.29394,212.85414,184.35
Equity Value (M)422,703.18443,475.91465,072.00
Shares Outstanding (M)4.124.124.12
Fair Value$102,584.06$107,625.31$112,866.37
Upside / Downside293.80%313.15%333.27%

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