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Definitive Analysis

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Daesung Holdings Co., Ltd. (016710.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,533.37 - $24,503.03$19,637.75
Multi-Stage$34,269.05 - $37,753.63$35,977.03
Blended Fair Value$27,807.39
Current Price$8,290.00
Upside235.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.39%-1.65%380.62368.49374.54385.38385.38373.25417.33553.72581.00492.28
YoY Growth--3.29%-1.62%-2.81%0.00%3.25%-10.56%-24.63%-4.69%18.02%9.46%
Dividend Yield--5.48%3.93%0.27%0.68%1.33%4.21%6.00%7.03%6.64%5.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,142.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,911.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,230.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,028.483,142.801,885.68
Cash Retained (M)19,230.8219,230.8219,230.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,028.48-3,142.80-1,885.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,202.3416,088.0217,345.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.0616.0616.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share884.321,001.731,080.00
LTM Dividend per Share368.09368.09368.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share884.321,001.731,080.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,252.401,369.821,448.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.61%-0.61%0.39%
Fair Value$15,533.37$19,637.75$24,503.03
Upside / Downside87.37%136.88%195.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,142.3824,989.5224,837.6024,686.6024,536.5124,387.3425,118.96
Payout Ratio23.51%36.81%50.11%63.40%76.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,911.569,198.6112,445.4815,652.5218,820.1121,948.6123,235.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.61%-0.61%0.39%
Year 1 PV (M)8,564.368,651.408,738.45
Year 2 PV (M)10,788.4011,008.8111,231.44
Year 3 PV (M)12,632.8813,021.9913,419.01
Year 4 PV (M)14,142.0714,725.8315,327.47
Year 5 PV (M)15,355.7416,152.0916,981.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)488,886.11514,240.05540,635.14
Equity Value (M)550,369.57577,800.17606,332.66
Shares Outstanding (M)16.0616.0616.06
Fair Value$34,269.05$35,977.03$37,753.63
Upside / Downside313.38%333.98%355.41%

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