Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Douzone Bizon Co., Ltd. (012510.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93,357.47 - $512,537.30$180,584.95
Multi-Stage$53,259.29 - $58,249.67$55,708.90
Blended Fair Value$118,146.92
Current Price$88,900.00
Upside32.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.71%10.81%400.46252.76578.12589.62538.46459.42417.09302.39229.40208.55
YoY Growth--58.44%-56.28%-1.95%9.50%17.20%10.15%37.93%31.82%10.00%45.33%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.58%1.65%1.27%0.55%0.57%0.91%0.52%0.93%0.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73,338.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,671.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)54,666.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,667.659,167.285,500.37
Cash Retained (M)54,666.6354,666.6354,666.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,667.65-9,167.28-5,500.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,998.9845,499.3549,166.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.4628.4628.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,405.611,598.891,727.75
LTM Dividend per Share656.14656.14656.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,405.611,598.891,727.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,061.752,255.042,383.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$93,357.47$180,584.95$512,537.30
Upside / Downside5.01%103.13%476.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73,338.2678,105.2483,182.0888,588.9294,347.20100,479.77103,494.16
Payout Ratio25.46%38.37%51.28%64.18%77.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,671.6329,967.1742,652.2556,859.7772,734.0790,431.7995,732.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27,530.2027,791.1528,052.10
Year 2 PV (M)35,997.2436,682.8837,375.00
Year 3 PV (M)44,085.5245,351.0646,640.58
Year 4 PV (M)51,807.4753,799.8455,849.13
Year 5 PV (M)59,175.1362,033.3165,000.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,296,990.751,359,635.891,424,678.60
Equity Value (M)1,515,586.301,585,294.121,657,596.29
Shares Outstanding (M)28.4628.4628.46
Fair Value$53,259.29$55,708.90$58,249.67
Upside / Downside-40.09%-37.34%-34.48%

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