Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ni Steel Co.,Ltd (008260.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64,151.71 - $128,328.54$120,262.64
Multi-Stage$19,524.25 - $21,388.73$20,439.29
Blended Fair Value$70,350.96
Current Price$3,615.00
Upside1,846.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.11%9.66%126.08100.8775.6550.4350.4350.4350.1350.1350.1350.13
YoY Growth--25.00%33.33%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.90%2.14%1.21%0.98%1.40%3.58%2.07%1.59%1.21%1.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,296.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,822.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,473.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,659.222,287.011,372.21
Cash Retained (M)15,473.4715,473.4715,473.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,659.22-2,287.01-1,372.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,814.2413,186.4514,101.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.3528.3528.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share416.67465.06497.33
LTM Dividend per Share99.5599.5599.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share416.67465.06497.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend516.22564.61596.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$64,151.71$120,262.64$128,328.54
Upside / Downside1,674.60%3,226.77%3,449.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,296.1119,485.3620,751.9122,100.7823,537.3325,067.2625,819.28
Payout Ratio15.43%30.34%45.26%60.17%75.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,822.655,912.269,391.6013,298.2717,673.1322,560.5323,882.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,507.105,559.305,611.50
Year 2 PV (M)8,148.528,303.738,460.40
Year 3 PV (M)10,747.4211,055.9411,370.31
Year 4 PV (M)13,304.3013,815.9514,342.21
Year 5 PV (M)15,819.6816,583.7817,377.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)500,065.35524,218.69549,296.44
Equity Value (M)553,592.37579,537.38606,457.97
Shares Outstanding (M)28.3528.3528.35
Fair Value$19,524.25$20,439.29$21,388.73
Upside / Downside440.09%465.40%491.67%

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