Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongwon Industries Co., Ltd. (006040.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$318,936.14 - $633,440.42$593,626.44
Multi-Stage$98,719.84 - $108,024.00$103,286.54
Blended Fair Value$348,456.49
Current Price$47,250.00
Upside637.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS36.10%16.66%1,282.181,254.22702.94645.26200.16274.57366.09274.57183.04183.04
YoY Growth--2.23%78.42%8.94%222.37%-27.10%-25.00%33.33%50.00%0.00%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--3.70%3.56%1.51%1.41%0.43%0.88%0.85%0.49%0.30%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117,044.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58,414.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)58,629.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,408.8714,630.548,778.33
Cash Retained (M)58,629.6558,629.6558,629.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,408.87-14,630.54-8,778.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,220.7843,999.1149,851.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.7536.7536.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share958.461,197.341,356.60
LTM Dividend per Share1,589.631,589.631,589.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share958.461,197.341,356.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,548.092,786.982,946.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$318,936.14$593,626.44$633,440.42
Upside / Downside575.00%1,156.35%1,240.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117,044.34124,652.22132,754.62141,383.67150,573.61160,360.89165,171.72
Payout Ratio49.91%57.93%65.94%73.96%81.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58,414.6972,206.7287,544.91104,571.98123,442.70144,324.80152,783.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)67,262.3567,899.9168,537.47
Year 2 PV (M)75,966.0977,413.0378,873.62
Year 3 PV (M)84,527.6386,954.1189,426.60
Year 4 PV (M)92,948.6896,523.22100,199.89
Year 5 PV (M)101,230.92106,120.42111,197.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,205,746.883,360,585.663,521,350.47
Equity Value (M)3,627,682.553,795,496.343,969,585.08
Shares Outstanding (M)36.7536.7536.75
Fair Value$98,719.84$103,286.54$108,024.00
Upside / Downside108.93%118.60%128.62%

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