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Definitive Analysis

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Ilshin Spinning Co.,Ltd (003200.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14,782.47 - $25,410.54$19,370.22
Multi-Stage$27,913.96 - $30,699.60$29,279.81
Blended Fair Value$24,325.01
Current Price$10,200.00
Upside138.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.40%1.96%275.82539.41326.03165.98167.05222.35169.81314.45281.51199.28
YoY Growth---48.87%65.45%96.43%-0.64%-24.87%30.94%-46.00%11.70%41.27%-12.24%
Dividend Yield--3.46%5.96%2.51%1.43%1.77%4.83%1.73%2.93%2.52%1.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,989.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,981.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,007.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,997.883,123.681,874.21
Cash Retained (M)17,007.4217,007.4217,007.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,997.88-3,123.68-1,874.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,009.5413,883.7515,133.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.2221.2221.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share566.01654.35713.23
LTM Dividend per Share376.19376.19376.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share566.01654.35713.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend942.211,030.541,089.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.04%0.96%1.96%
Fair Value$14,782.47$19,370.22$25,410.54
Upside / Downside44.93%89.90%149.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,989.4225,230.1625,473.2325,718.6325,966.4126,216.5627,003.06
Payout Ratio31.94%43.55%55.16%66.78%78.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,981.9910,988.5414,052.2817,174.0320,354.6223,594.9124,977.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.04%0.96%1.96%
Year 1 PV (M)10,231.5510,333.9010,436.25
Year 2 PV (M)12,182.8612,427.8312,675.23
Year 3 PV (M)13,863.6014,283.8414,712.48
Year 4 PV (M)15,299.1915,920.6316,560.81
Year 5 PV (M)16,512.9617,355.6018,232.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)524,181.36550,929.87578,759.36
Equity Value (M)592,271.52621,251.67651,376.43
Shares Outstanding (M)21.2221.2221.22
Fair Value$27,913.96$29,279.81$30,699.60
Upside / Downside173.67%187.06%200.98%

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