Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Suntak Technology Co.,Ltd. (002815.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.30 - $56.91$53.33
Multi-Stage$37.01 - $40.61$38.77
Blended Fair Value$46.05
Current Price$15.09
Upside205.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.00%16.77%0.240.290.250.200.250.260.210.170.050.12
YoY Growth---19.25%16.84%24.00%-17.32%-6.55%27.97%20.00%241.67%-59.41%144.77%
Dividend Yield--2.18%3.31%1.99%1.69%2.05%1.59%1.16%1.01%0.25%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)309.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)165.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.8038.6323.18
Cash Retained (M)165.10165.10165.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.80-38.63-23.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.30126.48141.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,079.871,079.871,079.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate-0.07%-0.07%-0.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$48.30$53.33$56.91
Upside / Downside220.10%253.43%277.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)309.01329.10350.49373.27397.53423.37436.07
Payout Ratio46.57%55.26%63.94%72.63%81.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.91181.85224.11271.10323.25381.03403.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.07%-0.07%-0.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)180.27181.98183.69
Year 2 PV (M)220.24224.44228.67
Year 3 PV (M)264.11271.70279.42
Year 4 PV (M)312.19324.20336.55
Year 5 PV (M)364.81382.43400.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,619.5640,484.9042,421.63
Equity Value (M)39,961.1941,869.6443,850.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1,079.871,079.871,079.87
Fair Value$37.01$38.77$40.61
Upside / Downside145.23%156.94%169.10%

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