Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Yongxing Special Materials Technology Co.,Ltd (002756.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.38 - $226.80$163.83
Multi-Stage$29.10 - $31.77$30.41
Blended Fair Value$97.12
Current Price$38.76
Upside150.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.44%38.66%2.534.940.390.250.330.700.690.090.080.10
YoY Growth---48.82%1,172.27%54.70%-23.53%-52.83%0.49%683.53%17.00%-23.95%3.23%
Dividend Yield--7.60%9.86%0.60%0.27%0.92%5.92%5.48%0.52%0.34%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)604.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)534.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)69.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.8375.5245.31
Cash Retained (M)69.8169.8169.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.83-75.52-45.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)-51.02-5.7124.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)529.75529.75529.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.010.05
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.010.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$58.38$163.83$226.80
Upside / Downside50.62%322.67%485.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)604.14643.41685.23729.77777.20827.72852.55
Payout Ratio88.45%88.76%89.07%89.38%89.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)534.33571.07610.32652.25697.07744.95788.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)527.96532.97537.97
Year 2 PV (M)521.66531.59541.62
Year 3 PV (M)515.42530.22545.30
Year 4 PV (M)509.26528.84548.99
Year 5 PV (M)503.16527.46552.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,839.0313,459.1614,103.02
Equity Value (M)15,416.5016,110.2516,829.60
Shares Outstanding (M)529.75529.75529.75
Fair Value$29.10$30.41$31.77
Upside / Downside-24.92%-21.54%-18.04%

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