Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co., Ltd. (002463.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.90 - $138.00$72.82
Multi-Stage$30.59 - $33.42$31.98
Blended Fair Value$52.40
Current Price$73.47
Upside-28.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS44.54%22.80%0.560.190.150.180.190.090.050.050.010.01
YoY Growth--199.55%27.70%-17.51%-4.21%108.76%71.88%7.17%572.45%-2.18%-89.80%
Dividend Yield--1.72%0.59%0.68%1.35%1.22%0.41%0.45%1.22%0.16%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,456.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,405.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)691.29432.06259.23
Cash Retained (M)2,405.562,405.562,405.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-691.29-432.06-259.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,714.261,973.502,146.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,932.811,932.811,932.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.431.561.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.79%8.79%8.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.90$72.82$138.00
Upside / Downside-37.53%-0.89%87.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,456.473,681.143,920.414,175.244,446.634,735.664,877.73
Payout Ratio30.40%42.32%54.24%66.16%78.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050.911,557.982,126.532,762.413,471.964,262.094,511.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.79%8.79%8.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,418.671,432.121,445.56
Year 2 PV (M)1,763.231,796.821,830.72
Year 3 PV (M)2,085.672,145.542,206.55
Year 4 PV (M)2,387.002,478.802,573.22
Year 5 PV (M)2,668.212,797.092,930.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,795.8151,152.6753,599.73
Equity Value (M)59,118.6061,803.0364,586.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,932.811,932.811,932.81
Fair Value$30.59$31.98$33.42
Upside / Downside-58.37%-56.48%-54.52%

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