Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sinoma Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (002080.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$177.37 - $208.98$195.84
Multi-Stage$244.81 - $268.71$256.54
Blended Fair Value$226.19
Current Price$34.02
Upside564.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.59%26.57%0.720.890.990.790.630.440.290.270.310.28
YoY Growth---18.93%-9.97%25.82%26.13%42.82%50.02%9.09%-12.47%7.82%312.91%
Dividend Yield--4.86%5.67%4.11%3.25%2.68%3.85%2.58%2.62%3.24%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,763.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)824.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)939.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)352.66220.41132.25
Cash Retained (M)939.18939.18939.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-352.66-220.41-132.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)586.52718.77806.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,678.051,678.051,678.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate-11.27%-11.27%-11.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$177.37$195.84$208.98
Upside / Downside421.38%475.67%514.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,763.291,877.911,999.972,129.972,268.412,415.862,488.34
Payout Ratio46.74%55.39%64.04%72.69%81.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)824.111,040.171,280.831,548.381,845.302,174.282,301.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-11.27%-11.27%-11.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,161.291,172.301,183.31
Year 2 PV (M)1,596.501,626.911,657.61
Year 3 PV (M)2,154.742,216.602,279.62
Year 4 PV (M)2,866.982,977.243,090.64
Year 5 PV (M)3,771.493,953.654,142.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)399,253.84418,537.95438,560.11
Equity Value (M)410,804.84430,484.65450,914.08
Shares Outstanding (M)1,678.051,678.051,678.05
Fair Value$244.81$256.54$268.71
Upside / Downside619.61%654.08%689.87%

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