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Definitive Analysis

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Cheil Grinding Wheel Ind. Co., Ltd. (001560.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,130.97 - $31,494.31$25,360.24
Multi-Stage$44,520.07 - $49,070.62$46,750.41
Blended Fair Value$36,055.33
Current Price$10,130.00
Upside255.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.59%3.24%308.31290.40298.05246.55246.55224.13201.72179.31179.31224.13
YoY Growth--6.17%-2.57%20.89%0.00%10.00%11.11%12.50%0.00%-20.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.69%3.33%2.80%2.01%3.15%4.47%3.19%3.05%2.90%3.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,946.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,146.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,799.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,789.221,743.261,045.96
Cash Retained (M)11,799.2311,799.2311,799.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,789.22-1,743.26-1,045.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,010.0110,055.9710,753.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.696.696.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,346.301,502.591,606.78
LTM Dividend per Share320.79320.79320.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,346.301,502.591,606.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,667.091,823.381,927.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-1.78%-0.78%0.22%
Fair Value$20,130.97$25,360.24$31,494.31
Upside / Downside98.73%150.35%210.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,946.0813,837.5413,729.8413,622.9813,516.9513,411.7513,814.10
Payout Ratio15.39%30.32%45.24%60.16%75.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,146.854,194.876,210.888,195.2610,148.3612,070.5712,778.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-1.78%-0.78%0.22%
Year 1 PV (M)3,904.443,944.193,983.95
Year 2 PV (M)5,380.645,490.765,601.99
Year 3 PV (M)6,608.206,812.107,020.15
Year 4 PV (M)7,616.537,931.478,256.09
Year 5 PV (M)8,431.978,870.039,326.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)266,005.41279,825.03294,213.14
Equity Value (M)297,947.19312,873.58328,401.43
Shares Outstanding (M)6.696.696.69
Fair Value$44,520.07$46,750.41$49,070.62
Upside / Downside339.49%361.50%384.41%

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