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De Rucci Healthy Sleep Co., Ltd. (001323.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$143.88 - $320.23$300.10
Multi-Stage$49.09 - $53.67$51.33
Blended Fair Value$175.72
Current Price$27.61
Upside536.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS23.80%0.00%1.580.900.900.000.680.540.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.77%0.00%0.00%-100.00%25.86%3,048.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.30%3.10%2.66%0.00%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)711.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)513.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)198.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)142.3888.9953.39
Cash Retained (M)198.58198.58198.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-142.38-88.99-53.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.20109.59145.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.13442.13442.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$143.88$300.10$320.23
Upside / Downside421.13%986.93%1,059.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)711.92758.20807.48859.97915.87975.401,004.66
Payout Ratio72.11%75.68%79.26%82.84%86.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)513.34573.84640.04712.42791.50877.86929.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)534.04539.10544.16
Year 2 PV (M)554.33564.89575.54
Year 3 PV (M)574.21590.70607.49
Year 4 PV (M)593.71616.54640.02
Year 5 PV (M)612.80642.40673.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,833.4619,743.1320,687.61
Equity Value (M)21,702.5522,696.7523,727.96
Shares Outstanding (M)442.13442.13442.13
Fair Value$49.09$51.33$53.67
Upside / Downside77.78%85.93%94.38%

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