Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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FAWER Automotive Parts Limited Company (000030.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.70 - $75.05$70.34
Multi-Stage$10.96 - $11.99$11.47
Blended Fair Value$40.90
Current Price$5.63
Upside626.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.22%11.59%0.250.250.300.300.170.150.150.150.110.08
YoY Growth---1.15%-14.85%-0.33%73.17%17.13%-0.48%-0.46%32.44%44.41%-7.10%
Dividend Yield--4.31%4.67%6.20%5.50%2.32%2.73%2.77%2.91%1.87%1.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)672.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)271.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)400.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.4284.0150.41
Cash Retained (M)400.57400.57400.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.42-84.01-50.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)266.15316.56350.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,780.921,780.921,780.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.70$70.34$75.05
Upside / Downside445.22%1,149.30%1,233.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)672.09715.78762.30811.85864.62920.83948.45
Payout Ratio40.40%50.32%60.24%70.16%80.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)271.53360.18459.21569.60692.39828.74877.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)334.90338.08341.25
Year 2 PV (M)397.02404.58412.22
Year 3 PV (M)457.90471.04484.43
Year 4 PV (M)517.55537.45557.92
Year 5 PV (M)576.00603.82632.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,236.1918,068.7118,933.09
Equity Value (M)19,519.5620,423.6821,361.61
Shares Outstanding (M)1,780.921,780.921,780.92
Fair Value$10.96$11.47$11.99
Upside / Downside94.68%103.70%113.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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