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Definitive Analysis

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Zuger Kantonalbank (ZUGER.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29,050.34 - $157,495.41$52,701.01
Multi-Stage$21,422.37 - $23,452.43$22,418.65
Blended Fair Value$37,559.83
Current Price$8,620.00
Upside335.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.96%0.00%223.65223.65223.65223.65223.65234.68213.63186.97186.97186.97
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-4.70%9.86%14.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.71%2.96%3.09%3.32%3.49%3.67%3.34%2.92%2.92%2.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)255.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.0931.9319.16
Cash Retained (M)158.96158.96158.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.09-31.93-19.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)107.87127.03139.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.290.290.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share375.06441.67486.08
LTM Dividend per Share335.48335.48335.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share375.06441.67486.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend710.54777.15821.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.48%5.48%6.48%
Fair Value$29,050.34$52,701.01$157,495.41
Upside / Downside237.01%511.38%1,727.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)255.44269.44284.20299.77316.20333.52343.53
Payout Ratio37.77%48.22%58.66%69.11%79.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96.48129.92166.72207.17251.55300.17317.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.48%5.48%6.48%
Year 1 PV (M)120.23121.38122.53
Year 2 PV (M)142.78145.53148.30
Year 3 PV (M)164.19168.95173.80
Year 4 PV (M)184.49191.66199.03
Year 5 PV (M)203.73213.67223.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,345.725,606.495,877.34
Equity Value (M)6,161.146,447.676,744.99
Shares Outstanding (M)0.290.290.29
Fair Value$21,422.37$22,418.65$23,452.43
Upside / Downside148.52%160.08%172.07%

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