Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Yulie Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk (YULE.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$282.58 - $411.80$345.07
Multi-Stage$392.18 - $430.10$410.78
Blended Fair Value$377.92
Current Price$2,700.00
Upside-86.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59,135.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,698.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)46,437.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,827.127,391.954,435.17
Cash Retained (M)46,437.3246,437.3246,437.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,827.12-7,391.95-4,435.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,610.2039,045.3742,002.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,587.291,587.291,587.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.8024.6026.46
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.8024.6026.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.8032.6034.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-0.53%0.47%1.47%
Fair Value$282.58$345.07$411.80
Upside / Downside-89.53%-87.22%-84.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59,135.6159,413.8259,693.3359,974.1560,256.3060,539.7862,355.97
Payout Ratio21.47%35.18%48.88%62.59%76.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,698.2920,900.9129,180.4337,537.3945,972.3354,485.8057,679.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-0.53%0.47%1.47%
Year 1 PV (M)18,818.2219,007.4019,196.59
Year 2 PV (M)23,654.7424,132.7424,615.53
Year 3 PV (M)27,397.0428,231.6629,083.07
Year 4 PV (M)30,209.9131,443.1832,713.83
Year 5 PV (M)32,236.6233,889.9435,610.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)490,177.96515,317.75541,478.60
Equity Value (M)622,494.48652,022.67682,698.02
Shares Outstanding (M)1,587.291,587.291,587.29
Fair Value$392.18$410.78$430.10
Upside / Downside-85.47%-84.79%-84.07%

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