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Exotic Food Public Company Limited (XO.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$130.82 - $249.60$233.92
Multi-Stage$39.49 - $43.20$41.31
Blended Fair Value$137.61
Current Price$16.00
Upside760.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.98%0.00%2.240.570.600.830.220.760.170.070.080.00
YoY Growth--294.04%-4.72%-28.59%284.39%-71.57%361.24%151.62%-19.81%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--14.44%2.12%5.09%4.85%1.70%19.58%1.59%1.09%1.51%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)535.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)307.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)227.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.0566.9140.14
Cash Retained (M)227.77227.77227.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.05-66.91-40.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)120.71160.86187.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)426.48426.48426.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.380.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.380.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.001.101.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$130.82$233.92$249.60
Upside / Downside717.64%1,361.97%1,460.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)535.26570.05607.10646.57688.59733.35755.35
Payout Ratio57.45%63.96%70.47%76.98%83.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)307.49364.59427.82497.72574.90660.02698.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)339.73342.95346.18
Year 2 PV (M)371.47378.54385.68
Year 3 PV (M)402.69414.25426.03
Year 4 PV (M)433.43450.09467.24
Year 5 PV (M)463.67486.06509.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,830.3215,546.6316,290.35
Equity Value (M)16,841.3017,618.5318,424.80
Shares Outstanding (M)426.48426.48426.48
Fair Value$39.49$41.31$43.20
Upside / Downside146.81%158.20%170.02%

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