Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wattanapat Hospital Trang Public Company Limited (WPH.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.67 - $36.42$19.84
Multi-Stage$8.25 - $9.03$8.64
Blended Fair Value$14.24
Current Price$7.80
Upside82.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.97%0.00%0.100.100.090.030.050.050.020.340.020.02
YoY Growth--0.00%10.01%165.96%-35.06%-7.37%247.23%-95.36%1,353.73%48.15%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.17%2.40%1.17%2.39%4.18%0.66%12.49%0.63%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)350.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)349.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.1443.8426.30
Cash Retained (M)349.21349.21349.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.14-43.84-26.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.07305.37322.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)689.62689.62689.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.440.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.440.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.67$19.84$36.42
Upside / Downside62.40%154.38%366.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)350.71373.50397.78423.64451.17480.50494.92
Payout Ratio0.43%18.34%36.26%54.17%72.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.5068.51144.22229.49325.23432.45457.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.3262.9163.50
Year 2 PV (M)119.36121.64123.93
Year 3 PV (M)172.79177.75182.81
Year 4 PV (M)222.78231.35240.16
Year 5 PV (M)269.49282.51296.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,844.845,078.855,321.81
Equity Value (M)5,691.595,955.006,228.23
Shares Outstanding (M)689.62689.62689.62
Fair Value$8.25$8.64$9.03
Upside / Downside5.81%10.71%15.79%

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