Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Vend Marketplaces ASA (VEND.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,961.96 - $6,777.51$6,351.52
Multi-Stage$1,095.59 - $1,199.01$1,146.35
Blended Fair Value$3,748.93
Current Price$355.00
Upside956.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS112.05%49.13%89.252.002.042.040.002.081.821.731.731.64
YoY Growth--4,355.56%-1.92%0.00%0.00%-100.00%14.39%5.30%0.00%5.32%0.00%
Dividend Yield--27.65%0.62%0.63%0.63%0.00%0.64%0.56%0.54%0.54%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,809.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,867.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,942.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,561.80976.13585.68
Cash Retained (M)3,942.003,942.003,942.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,561.80-976.13-585.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,380.202,965.883,356.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)229.14229.14229.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.3912.9414.65
LTM Dividend per Share16.8816.8816.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.3912.9414.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend27.2629.8231.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,961.96$6,351.52$6,777.51
Upside / Downside1,016.04%1,689.16%1,809.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,809.008,316.598,857.169,432.8810,046.0210,699.0111,019.98
Payout Ratio49.52%57.62%65.71%73.81%81.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,867.004,791.675,820.216,962.218,228.089,629.1110,193.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,468.474,510.834,553.18
Year 2 PV (M)5,061.545,157.955,255.27
Year 3 PV (M)5,646.295,808.385,973.54
Year 4 PV (M)6,222.826,462.136,708.28
Year 5 PV (M)6,791.207,119.227,459.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)222,854.73233,618.69244,794.62
Equity Value (M)251,045.05262,677.20274,744.68
Shares Outstanding (M)229.14229.14229.14
Fair Value$1,095.59$1,146.35$1,199.01
Upside / Downside208.62%222.92%237.75%

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