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Definitive Analysis

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TWC Enterprises Limited (TWC.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.94 - $98.84$54.47
Multi-Stage$23.45 - $25.63$24.52
Blended Fair Value$39.49
Current Price$24.50
Upside61.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.93%1.59%0.280.190.060.080.090.090.090.090.070.00
YoY Growth--48.76%228.01%-28.61%-5.55%-3.73%-0.64%-0.09%33.33%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.12%0.33%0.43%0.40%1.02%0.64%0.83%0.64%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.904.312.59
Cash Retained (M)26.5826.5826.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.90-4.31-2.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.6822.2724.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.3224.3224.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.810.920.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.810.920.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34.94$54.47$98.84
Upside / Downside42.60%122.31%303.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.5036.7439.1341.6744.3847.2648.68
Payout Ratio22.94%36.35%49.76%63.18%76.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.9113.3519.4726.3233.9942.5445.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)12.1512.2612.38
Year 2 PV (M)16.1016.4116.72
Year 3 PV (M)19.8020.3720.95
Year 4 PV (M)23.2524.1425.06
Year 5 PV (M)26.4627.7429.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)472.59495.42519.12
Equity Value (M)570.35596.34623.29
Shares Outstanding (M)24.3224.3224.32
Fair Value$23.45$24.52$25.63
Upside / Downside-4.27%0.10%4.62%

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