Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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TPI Polene Power Public Company Limited (TPIPP-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.12 - $4.82$3.91
Multi-Stage$6.89 - $7.59$7.23
Blended Fair Value$5.57
Current Price$2.24
Upside148.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.89%0.00%0.210.240.250.270.320.300.340.450.300.00
YoY Growth---12.50%-4.00%-7.41%-15.63%6.67%-11.76%-24.38%48.02%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.45%7.22%7.43%6.92%7.30%9.80%5.62%6.61%4.34%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,844.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)588.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,256.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)568.91355.57213.34
Cash Retained (M)2,256.562,256.562,256.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-568.91-355.57-213.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,687.651,900.992,043.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,406.848,406.848,406.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.12$3.91$4.82
Upside / Downside39.47%74.67%115.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,844.562,816.122,787.952,760.072,732.472,705.152,786.30
Payout Ratio20.67%34.54%48.40%62.27%76.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)588.00972.601,349.441,718.652,080.352,434.632,577.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)904.08913.31922.53
Year 2 PV (M)1,166.021,189.941,214.10
Year 3 PV (M)1,380.441,423.131,466.69
Year 4 PV (M)1,553.251,617.621,683.98
Year 5 PV (M)1,689.721,777.711,869.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,232.2553,900.0456,677.81
Equity Value (M)57,925.7660,821.7463,834.44
Shares Outstanding (M)8,406.848,406.848,406.84
Fair Value$6.89$7.23$7.59
Upside / Downside207.60%222.98%238.98%

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