Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tricon Residential Inc. (TCN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.31 - $76.91$72.07
Multi-Stage$11.72 - $12.82$12.26
Blended Fair Value$42.17
Current Price$9.10
Upside363.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS37.42%23.92%0.330.200.140.120.110.070.060.060.050.06
YoY Growth--61.43%48.53%12.30%12.33%61.99%7.65%7.35%9.03%-4.88%45.36%
Dividend Yield--3.60%2.62%0.86%0.93%0.83%0.51%0.48%0.44%0.41%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6314.148.48
Cash Retained (M)52.2452.2452.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.63-14.14-8.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.6138.0943.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)292.56292.56292.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.31$72.07$76.91
Upside / Downside287.97%692.00%745.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.13120.49128.32136.66145.54155.00159.65
Payout Ratio53.83%61.06%68.30%75.53%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.9073.5787.64103.22120.46139.50147.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)68.4869.1369.78
Year 2 PV (M)75.9377.3878.84
Year 3 PV (M)83.2485.6388.07
Year 4 PV (M)90.4293.9097.48
Year 5 PV (M)97.47102.18107.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,013.233,158.773,309.88
Equity Value (M)3,428.783,586.993,751.11
Shares Outstanding (M)292.56292.56292.56
Fair Value$11.72$12.26$12.82
Upside / Downside28.79%34.73%40.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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