Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Studsvik AB (publ) (SVIK.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.96 - $45.86$35.94
Multi-Stage$88.90 - $97.95$93.33
Blended Fair Value$64.64
Current Price$230.00
Upside-71.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.002.002.001.000.000.000.001.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.23%0.00%100.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.57%1.42%1.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.63%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.182.611.57
Cash Retained (M)4.464.464.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.18-2.61-1.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.281.852.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.228.228.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.230.35
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.230.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.032.232.35
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$27.96$35.94$45.86
Upside / Downside-87.84%-84.37%-80.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.9020.6920.4820.2820.0819.8820.47
Payout Ratio78.65%80.92%83.19%85.46%87.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.4416.7417.0417.3317.6117.8918.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.13%5.13%5.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.7615.9316.09
Year 2 PV (M)15.1115.4215.73
Year 3 PV (M)14.4714.9215.37
Year 4 PV (M)13.8514.4215.01
Year 5 PV (M)13.2413.9314.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)658.20692.47728.16
Equity Value (M)730.62767.08805.00
Shares Outstanding (M)8.228.228.22
Fair Value$88.90$93.33$97.95
Upside / Downside-61.35%-59.42%-57.41%

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