Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk (SSIA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$478.10 - $1,234.56$724.98
Multi-Stage$342.82 - $373.82$358.04
Blended Fair Value$541.51
Current Price$1,590.00
Upside-65.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.26%-8.85%12.010.000.000.004.967.0520.136.019.8218.19
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-29.54%-65.00%234.99%-38.78%-46.06%-40.00%
Dividend Yield--1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.03%1.60%3.66%1.09%1.50%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96,259.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55,480.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)40,779.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,251.9112,032.447,219.47
Cash Retained (M)40,779.2440,779.2440,779.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,251.91-12,032.44-7,219.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,527.3328,746.7933,559.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,619.744,619.744,619.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.666.227.26
LTM Dividend per Share12.0112.0112.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.666.227.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.6718.2319.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$478.10$724.98$1,234.56
Upside / Downside-69.93%-54.40%-22.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96,259.55102,516.42109,179.98116,276.68123,834.67131,883.92135,840.44
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.58%77.05%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55,480.3165,722.1877,061.0989,596.38103,435.67118,695.53125,652.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59,631.8860,197.1160,762.35
Year 2 PV (M)63,440.7564,649.1265,868.88
Year 3 PV (M)66,925.2868,846.4670,804.07
Year 4 PV (M)70,103.0172,798.9775,571.96
Year 5 PV (M)72,990.6676,516.1380,176.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,250,650.021,311,056.891,373,775.66
Equity Value (M)1,583,741.601,654,064.691,726,959.46
Shares Outstanding (M)4,619.744,619.744,619.74
Fair Value$342.82$358.04$373.82
Upside / Downside-78.44%-77.48%-76.49%

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