Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn A/S (SPKSJF.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,093.63 - $7,570.18$6,636.34
Multi-Stage$956.57 - $1,046.71$1,000.81
Blended Fair Value$3,818.57
Current Price$343.00
Upside1,013.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.38%17.96%8.836.286.310.003.152.630.002.372.361.96
YoY Growth--40.50%-0.43%0.00%-100.00%19.75%0.00%-100.00%0.69%20.22%15.80%
Dividend Yield--3.15%2.97%3.45%0.00%2.84%3.37%0.00%2.21%1.83%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)627.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)193.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)434.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)125.5678.4747.08
Cash Retained (M)434.40434.40434.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-125.56-78.47-47.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)308.84355.93387.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.4916.4916.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.7321.5823.48
LTM Dividend per Share11.7311.7311.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.7321.5823.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend30.4533.3135.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,093.63$6,636.34$7,570.18
Upside / Downside510.39%1,834.79%2,107.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)627.80668.60712.06758.35807.64860.13885.94
Payout Ratio30.81%42.64%54.48%66.32%78.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)193.40285.12387.96502.95631.26774.12819.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)263.88266.38268.88
Year 2 PV (M)332.31338.64345.03
Year 3 PV (M)398.72410.16421.82
Year 4 PV (M)463.15480.96499.28
Year 5 PV (M)525.66551.05577.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,792.7214,458.9215,150.61
Equity Value (M)15,776.4416,506.1117,263.03
Shares Outstanding (M)16.4916.4916.49
Fair Value$956.57$1,000.81$1,046.71
Upside / Downside178.88%191.78%205.16%

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