Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SORIL Infra Resources Limited (SORILINFRA.NS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.90 - $27.47$22.36
Multi-Stage$37.89 - $41.77$39.79
Blended Fair Value$31.08
Current Price$70.25
Upside-55.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.100.100.100.100.100.100.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.16%0.00%0.30%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.04%0.08%0.06%0.28%0.22%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.407.754.65
Cash Retained (M)58.8058.8058.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.40-7.75-4.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.4051.0554.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.4031.4031.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.481.631.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.481.631.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.581.731.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.90$22.36$27.47
Upside / Downside-74.52%-68.17%-60.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.0061.3860.7760.1659.5658.9660.73
Payout Ratio5.16%22.13%39.10%56.06%73.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.2013.5823.7633.7343.5053.0756.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.6112.7412.86
Year 2 PV (M)20.4720.8921.31
Year 3 PV (M)26.9727.8028.66
Year 4 PV (M)32.2833.6235.00
Year 5 PV (M)36.5638.4640.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,060.731,115.961,173.47
Equity Value (M)1,189.611,249.471,311.75
Shares Outstanding (M)31.4031.4031.40
Fair Value$37.89$39.79$41.77
Upside / Downside-46.07%-43.36%-40.53%

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