Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SimCorp A/S (SIM.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.81 - $139.46$84.76
Multi-Stage$40.50 - $44.20$42.32
Blended Fair Value$63.54
Current Price$97.03
Upside-34.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS3.69%8.72%1.001.011.000.900.870.840.720.620.560.51
YoY Growth---0.62%0.52%11.14%4.17%3.64%16.82%16.33%10.51%10.23%16.29%
Dividend Yield--1.44%1.51%0.95%1.18%1.03%1.52%1.27%1.52%1.83%1.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)102.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.5612.857.71
Cash Retained (M)62.9162.9162.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.56-12.85-7.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.3550.0655.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.7339.7339.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.071.261.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.071.261.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.072.262.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.81$84.76$139.46
Upside / Downside-41.45%-12.64%43.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)102.82109.50116.62124.20132.27140.87145.10
Payout Ratio38.81%49.05%59.29%69.52%79.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.9153.7169.1486.35105.50126.78134.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)48.6649.1249.58
Year 2 PV (M)56.7557.8358.92
Year 3 PV (M)64.2066.0567.93
Year 4 PV (M)71.0773.8076.61
Year 5 PV (M)77.3781.1184.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,290.761,353.111,417.84
Equity Value (M)1,608.811,681.011,755.86
Shares Outstanding (M)39.7339.7339.73
Fair Value$40.50$42.32$44.20
Upside / Downside-58.26%-56.39%-54.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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