Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Schulz S.A. (SHUL3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$159.84 - $188.31$176.48
Multi-Stage$124.17 - $136.26$130.10
Blended Fair Value$153.29
Current Price$4.76
Upside3,120.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-74.62%-50.36%0.000.080.170.020.020.030.030.010.010.02
YoY Growth---99.95%-55.78%621.59%36.51%-49.45%36.49%115.37%12.65%-38.44%-57.61%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.15%3.88%0.52%0.46%1.89%1.35%0.84%1.09%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)261.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)144.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.2032.6319.58
Cash Retained (M)144.71144.71144.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.20-32.63-19.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.51112.09125.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)275.65275.65275.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.410.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.410.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate-0.36%-0.36%-0.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$159.84$176.48$188.31
Upside / Downside3,257.91%3,607.53%3,856.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)261.01277.98296.05315.29335.79357.61368.34
Payout Ratio44.56%53.65%62.73%71.82%80.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.30149.13185.73226.45271.69321.85340.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.36%-0.36%-0.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)148.26149.67151.07
Year 2 PV (M)183.58187.07190.60
Year 3 PV (M)222.53228.92235.43
Year 4 PV (M)265.44275.65286.15
Year 5 PV (M)312.62327.72343.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,094.8134,693.3036,352.97
Equity Value (M)34,227.2535,862.3437,559.63
Shares Outstanding (M)275.65275.65275.65
Fair Value$124.17$130.10$136.26
Upside / Downside2,508.59%2,633.20%2,762.56%

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