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Definitive Analysis

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Seach Medical Group Ltd (SEMG.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.14 - $4.46$3.79
Multi-Stage$4.78 - $5.24$5.01
Blended Fair Value$4.40
Current Price$2.80
Upside57.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.010.060.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-86.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.39%1.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.081.921.15
Cash Retained (M)11.4211.4211.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.08-1.92-1.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.349.4910.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.3932.3932.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.290.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.290.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.14$3.79$4.46
Upside / Downside12.16%35.34%59.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.3815.2315.0814.9314.7814.6315.07
Payout Ratio25.79%38.63%51.47%64.32%77.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.975.887.769.6011.4013.1713.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.305.365.41
Year 2 PV (M)6.306.436.56
Year 3 PV (M)7.027.247.46
Year 4 PV (M)7.527.838.15
Year 5 PV (M)7.828.238.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)120.79127.08133.63
Equity Value (M)154.76162.17169.87
Shares Outstanding (M)32.3932.3932.39
Fair Value$4.78$5.01$5.24
Upside / Downside70.63%78.80%87.29%

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