Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rusta AB (publ) (RUSTA.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$480.50 - $566.92$530.91
Multi-Stage$3,727.79 - $4,122.56$3,921.20
Blended Fair Value$2,226.06
Current Price$62.80
Upside3,444.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.140.691.002.620.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--65.71%-30.92%-61.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%0.93%2.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)468.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)222.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.6058.5035.10
Cash Retained (M)246.00246.00246.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.60-58.50-35.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.40187.50210.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.72152.72152.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.231.38
LTM Dividend per Share1.451.451.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.231.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.452.682.83
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$480.50$530.91$566.92
Upside / Downside665.13%745.41%802.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)468.00463.32458.69454.10449.56445.06458.42
Payout Ratio47.44%55.95%64.46%72.97%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)222.00259.22295.68331.38366.33400.56424.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)434.08438.51442.94
Year 2 PV (M)829.11846.12863.30
Year 3 PV (M)1,556.031,604.151,653.25
Year 4 PV (M)2,880.512,999.893,122.95
Year 5 PV (M)5,274.205,548.835,834.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)558,332.18587,405.83617,678.21
Equity Value (M)569,306.10598,843.34629,595.45
Shares Outstanding (M)152.72152.72152.72
Fair Value$3,727.79$3,921.20$4,122.56
Upside / Downside5,835.97%6,143.95%6,464.59%

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