Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Rovio Entertainment Oyj (ROVIO.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.46 - $35.24$14.57
Multi-Stage$25.90 - $28.61$27.23
Blended Fair Value$20.90
Current Price$9.18
Upside127.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS14.74%0.00%0.120.110.090.090.090.060.000.040.060.21
YoY Growth--1.20%27.59%-2.67%-0.39%58.88%0.00%-100.00%-33.33%-72.73%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%1.51%1.35%2.21%1.51%1.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.642.901.74
Cash Retained (M)13.2613.2613.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.64-2.90-1.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.6210.3611.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.0977.0977.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate0.79%0.79%0.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.46$14.57$35.24
Upside / Downside-7.87%58.66%283.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.2022.9722.7422.5122.2922.0622.72
Payout Ratio42.86%52.29%61.72%71.14%80.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.9412.0114.0316.0217.9619.8621.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.79%0.79%0.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.8011.9212.04
Year 2 PV (M)13.5413.8114.09
Year 3 PV (M)15.1715.6416.12
Year 4 PV (M)16.7117.4018.11
Year 5 PV (M)18.1519.0920.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,920.932,020.962,125.11
Equity Value (M)1,996.292,098.822,205.55
Shares Outstanding (M)77.0977.0977.09
Fair Value$25.90$27.23$28.61
Upside / Downside182.10%196.59%211.67%

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