Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Relais Group Oyj (RELAIS.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.50 - $13.10$10.64
Multi-Stage$19.12 - $21.04$20.06
Blended Fair Value$15.35
Current Price$15.40
Upside-0.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.420.390.340.280.090.000.000.000.020.08
YoY Growth--9.79%12.29%24.47%208.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-79.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.97%3.26%3.16%1.34%0.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.482.171.30
Cash Retained (M)8.008.008.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.48-2.17-1.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.525.826.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.7818.7818.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.50$10.64$13.10
Upside / Downside-44.79%-30.90%-14.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.3917.2117.0416.8716.7016.5317.03
Payout Ratio54.01%61.21%68.41%75.61%82.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.3910.5411.6612.7513.8314.8815.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9.799.899.99
Year 2 PV (M)10.0610.2710.48
Year 3 PV (M)10.2310.5510.87
Year 4 PV (M)10.3110.7311.17
Year 5 PV (M)10.3110.8411.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)308.38324.44341.16
Equity Value (M)359.08376.72395.07
Shares Outstanding (M)18.7818.7818.78
Fair Value$19.12$20.06$21.04
Upside / Downside24.18%30.29%36.63%

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